China's Arms Sales Motivations And Implications

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Format: Paperback
Pub. Date: 2000-01-04
Publisher(s): RAND Corporation
List Price: $20.00

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Summary

China's arms sales have become the focus of considerable attention and pose a moderate threat to U.S. interests. Although Chinese sales have fallen in recent years, and Beijing has become more responsible in the transfer of nuclear, biological, and chemical (NBC) technologies, much progress will be needed to curtail China's behavior. Principal recipients of Chinese arms have been Iran, Iraq, Myanmar, North Korea, Pakistan, and Thailand. These countries and others seek Chinese weapons because they are available, cheap, and easy to use and maintain. In addition to missiles, the Chinese are willing to transfer NBC technology. The United States and other countries do have a modest ability to influence Chinese behavior, and China has increasingly wished to be viewed as a responsible world nation. The analysis supports three major findings about China's arms sale behavior: (1) China's arms transfers not motivated primarily to generate export earnings but by

Table of Contents

Preface iii
Summary vii
Acknowledgments xiii
Introduction
1(2)
Background
3(4)
Explaining China's Arms Transfers
7(24)
China's Principal Arms Transfer Relationships
7(16)
Iran
8(5)
Iraq
13(1)
Pakistan
14(2)
North Korea
16(3)
Myanmar
19(2)
Thailand
21(2)
Recipient Country Demand
23(3)
Beijing's Incentives
26(5)
China's Foreign Policy Interests
27(1)
Commercial Motivations for Arms Transfers
28(3)
Possible Constraints on China's Arms Transfers
31(14)
Beijing's Ability to Control Arms Transfers
31(4)
Beijing's Attitudes Toward Arms Sales and Proliferation
35(3)
China's Degree of Adherence to Nonproliferation Regimes
38(3)
U.S. Ability to Influence Beijing
41(4)
Implications for the United States
45(4)
Implications of Unpreventable Transfers
47(1)
Final Words
48(1)
Appendix: An Overview of China's Arms Sales 49(6)
Bibliography 55

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