Choices, Values, and Frames

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Format: Paperback
Pub. Date: 2000-09-25
Publisher(s): Cambridge University Press
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Summary

This book presents the definitive exposition of 'prospect theory', a compelling alternative to the classical utility theory of choice. Building on the 1982 volume, Judgement Under Uncertainty, this book brings together seminal papers on prospect theory from economists, decision theorists, and psychologists, including the work of the late Amos Tversky, whose contributions are collected here for the first time. While remaining within a rational choice framework, prospect theory delivers more accurate, empirically verified predictions in key test cases, as well as helping to explain many complex, real-world puzzles. In this volume, it is brought to bear on phenomena as diverse as the principles of legal compensation, the equity premium puzzle in financial markets, and the number of hours that New York cab drivers choose to drive on rainy days. Theoretically elegant and empirically robust, this volume shows how prospect theory has matured into a new science of decision making.

Table of Contents

Preface ix
List of Contributors
xix
Choices, Values, and Frames
1(16)
Daniel Kahneman
Amos Tversky
PART ONE. PROSPECT THEORY AND EXTENSIONS
Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk
17(27)
Daniel Kahneman
Amos Tversky
Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty
44(23)
Amos Tversky
Daniel Kahneman
PART TWO. THE UNCERTAINTY EFFECT AND THE WEIGHTING FUNCTION
Compound Invariant Weighting Functions in Prospect Theory
67(26)
Drazen Prelec
Weighing Risk and Uncertainty
93(25)
Amos Tversky
Craig R. Fox
A Belief-Based Account of Decision under Uncertainty
118(25)
Craig R. Fox
Amos Tversky
PART THREE. LOSS AVERSION AND THE VALUE FUNCTION
Loss Aversion in Riskless Choice: A Reference-Dependent Model
143(16)
Amos Tversky
Daniel Kahneman
Anomalies: The Endowment Effect, Loss Aversion, and Status Quo Bias
159(12)
Daniel Kahneman
Jack L. Knetsch
Richard H. Thaler
The Endowment Effect and Evidence of Nonreversible Indifference Curves
171(9)
Jack L. Knetsch
A Test of the Theory of Reference-Dependent Preferences
180(22)
Ian Bateman
Alistair Munro
Bruce Rhodes
Chris Starmer
Robert Sugden
Diminishing Marginal Utility of Wealth Cannot Explain Risk Aversion
202(7)
Matthew Rabin
PART FOUR. FRAMING AND MENTAL ACCOUNTING
Rational Choice and the Framing of Decisions
209(15)
Amos Tversky
Daniel Kahneman
Framing, Probability Distortions, and Insurance Decisions
224(17)
Eric J. Johnson
John Hershey
Jacqueline Meszaros
Howard Kunreuther
Mental Accounting Matters
241(28)
Richard H. Thaler
PART FIVE. APPLICATIONS
Toward a Positive Theory of Consumer Choice
269(19)
Richard H. Thaler
Prospect Theory in the Wild: Evidence from the Field
288(13)
Colin F. Camerer
Myopic Loss Aversion and the Equity Premium Puzzle
301(16)
Shlomo Benartzi
Richard H. Thaler
Fairness as a Constraint on Profit Seeking: Entitlements in the Market
317(18)
Daniel Kahneman
Jack L. Knetsch
Richard H. Thaler
Money Illusion
335(21)
Eldar Shafir
Peter Diamond
Amos Tversky
Labor Supply of New York City Cab Drivers: One Day at a Time
356(15)
Colin F. Camerer
Linda Babcock
George Loewenstein
Richard H. Thaler
Are Investors Reluctant to Realize Their Losses?
371(22)
Terrance Odean
Timid Choices and Bold Forecasts: A Cognitive Perspective on Risk Taking
393(21)
Daniel Kahneman
Dan Lovallo
Overconfidence and Excess Entry: An Experimental Approach
414(10)
Colin F. Camerer
Dan Lovallo
Judicial Choice and Disparities between Measures of Economic Values
424(27)
David Cohen
Jack L. Knetsch
Contrasting Rational and Psychological Analyses of Political Choice
451(22)
George A. Quattrone
Amos Tversky
Conflict Resolution: A Cognitive Perspective
473(16)
Daniel Kahneman
Amos Tversky
PART SIX. THE MULTIPLICITY OF VALUE: REVERSALS OF PREFERENCE
The Construction of Preference
489(14)
Paul Slovic
Contingent Weighting in Judgment and Choice
503(15)
Amos Tversky
Shmuel Sattath
Paul Slovic
Context-Dependent Preferences
518(10)
Amos Tversky
Itamar Simonson
Ambiguity Aversion and Comparative Ignorance
528(15)
Craig R. Fox
Amos Tversky
Attribute Evaluability: Its Implications for Joint-Separate Evaluation Reversals and Beyond
543(22)
Christopher K. Hsee
PART SEVEN. CHOICE OVER TIME
Preferences for Sequences of Outcomes
565(13)
George F. Loewenstein
Drazen Prelec
Anomalies in Intertemporal Choice: Evidence and an Interpretation
578(19)
George Loewenstein
Drazen Prelec
PART EIGHT. ALTERNATIVE CONCEPTIONS OF VALUE
Reason-Based Choice
597(23)
Eldar Shafir
Itamar Simonson
Amos Tversky
Value Elicitation: Is There Anything in There?
620(22)
Baruch Fischhoff
Economic Preferences or Attitude Expressions? An Analysis of Dollar Responses to Public Issues
642(31)
Daniel Kahneman
Ilana Ritov
David Schkade
PART NINE. EXPERIENCED UTILITY AND OBJECTIVE HAPPINESS
Experienced Utility and Objective Happiness: A Moment-Based Approach
673(20)
Daniel Kahneman
Evaluation by Moments: Past and Future
693(16)
Daniel Kahneman
Endowments and Contrast in Judgments of Well-Being
709(17)
Amos Tversky
Dale Griffin
A Bias in the Prediction of Tastes
726(9)
George Loewenstein
Daniel Adler
The Effect of Purchase Quantity and Timing on Variety-Seeking Behavior
735(23)
Itamar Simonson
New Challenges to the Rationality Assumption
758(17)
Daniel Kahneman
References 775(46)
Author Index 821(11)
Subject Index 832

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