Preface |
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iv | |
About the Authors |
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xiii | |
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Overview of Financial Reporting, Financial Statement Analysis, and Valuation |
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1 | (84) |
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Overview of Financial Statement Analysis |
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2 | (2) |
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Step 1: Identify the Industry Economic Characteristics |
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4 | (2) |
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Tools for Studying Industry Economics |
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6 | (5) |
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6 | (2) |
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Porter's Five Forces Classification Framework |
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8 | (2) |
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Economic Attributes Framework |
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10 | (1) |
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Step 2: Identify the Company Strategies |
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11 | (3) |
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Framework for Strategy Analysis |
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12 | (1) |
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Application of Strategy Framework to PepsiCo's Beverage Segment |
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12 | (2) |
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Step 3: Assess the Quality of the Financial Statements |
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14 | (17) |
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Balance Sheet---Measuring Financial Position |
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14 | (6) |
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Income Statement---Measuring Operating Performance |
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20 | (6) |
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26 | (3) |
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Independent Auditor's Opinion and the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 |
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29 | (1) |
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Summary of Financial Statements, Notes, and Accountant's Opinion |
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30 | (1) |
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Step 4: Analyze Profitability and Risk |
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31 | (5) |
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Tools of Profitability and Risk Analysis |
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32 | (4) |
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Step 5: Prepare Forecasted Financial Statements |
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36 | (1) |
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36 | (1) |
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The Association between Earnings and Share Prices |
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37 | (2) |
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Role of Financial Statement Analysis in an Efficient Capital Market |
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39 | (1) |
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Sources of Financial Statement Information |
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40 | (1) |
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41 | (1) |
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Appendix 1.1 Preparing a Term Project |
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42 | (5) |
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47 | (2) |
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49 | (18) |
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Integrative Case 1.1 Starbucks |
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67 | (8) |
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Case 1.2 Nike: Somewhere between a Swoosh and a Slam Dunk |
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75 | (10) |
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Asset and Liability Valuation and Income Measurement |
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85 | (39) |
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Asset and Liability Valuation |
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86 | (6) |
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Historical Value: Acquisition Cost |
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86 | (1) |
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Historical Value: Adjusted Acquisition Cost |
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87 | (1) |
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Historical Value: Present Value of Cash Flows Using Historical Interest Rates |
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88 | (1) |
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Current Values: Current Replacement Cost |
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89 | (1) |
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Current Values: Net Realizable Value |
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90 | (1) |
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Current Values: Present Values of Cash Flows Using Current Interest Rates |
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90 | (1) |
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91 | (1) |
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92 | (5) |
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Treatment 1: Value Changes Recognized on the Balance Sheet and Income Statement When Realized |
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93 | (1) |
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Treatment 2: Value Changes Recognized on the Balance Sheet When They Occur but Recognized in Net Income When Realized |
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94 | (1) |
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Treatment 3: Value Changes Recognized on the Balance Sheet and the Income Statement When They Occur |
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95 | (1) |
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Summary of Asset and Liability Valuation and Income Recognition |
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96 | (1) |
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Accounting for Income Taxes |
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97 | (8) |
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Overview of Income Tax Accounting |
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97 | (4) |
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Measuring Income Tax Expense: A Bit More to the Story |
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101 | (3) |
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Reporting Income Taxes in the Financial Statements |
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104 | (1) |
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PepsiCo's Reporting of Income Taxes |
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104 | (1) |
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Framework for Analyzing the Effects of Transactions on the Financial Statements |
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105 | (5) |
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Overview of the Analytical Framework |
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107 | (3) |
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Summary of Analytical Framework |
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110 | (1) |
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110 | (1) |
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111 | (1) |
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112 | (9) |
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Integrative Case 2.1 Starbucks |
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121 | (3) |
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Income Flows versus Cash Flows: Key Relationships in the Dynamics of a Business |
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124 | (74) |
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Net Income, Cash Flows, and Life Cycle Relations |
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126 | (18) |
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Net Income and Cash Flow from Operations |
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126 | (9) |
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Relation between Cash Flows from Operating, Investing, and Financing Activities |
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135 | (2) |
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Illustrations of Cash Flow Relations |
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137 | (7) |
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Preparing the Statement of Cash Flows |
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144 | (8) |
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144 | (1) |
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Classifying Changes in Balance Sheet Accounts |
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145 | (6) |
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Illustration of the Preparation Procedure |
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151 | (1) |
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152 | (1) |
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153 | (4) |
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157 | (15) |
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Integrative Case 3.1 Starbucks |
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172 | (2) |
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Case 3.2 Prime Contractors |
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174 | (2) |
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Case 3.3 W. T. Grant Company |
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176 | (22) |
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198 | (86) |
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200 | (1) |
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200 | (29) |
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205 | (1) |
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Economic and Strategic Factors in the Interpretation of ROA |
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205 | (9) |
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Analyzing the Profit Margin for ROA |
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214 | (8) |
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Analyzing Total Assets Turnover |
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222 | (3) |
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Supplementing ROA in Profitability Analysis |
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225 | (4) |
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Rate of Return on Common Shareholders' Equity |
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229 | (5) |
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Earnings per Common Share |
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234 | (4) |
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235 | (2) |
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237 | (1) |
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Interpreting Financial Statement Ratios |
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238 | (1) |
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Comparisons with Corresponding Ratios of Earlier Periods |
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238 | (1) |
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Comparisons with Corresponding Ratios of Other Firms |
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239 | (1) |
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239 | (1) |
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240 | (2) |
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242 | (24) |
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Integrative Case 4.1 Starbucks |
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266 | (6) |
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Case 4.2 Profitability and Risk Analysis of Wal-Mart Stores |
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272 | (12) |
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284 | (78) |
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Disclosures Regarding Risk and Risk Management |
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285 | (3) |
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Financial Statement Analysis of Risk |
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288 | (1) |
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Analyzing Short-Term Liquidity Risk |
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289 | (7) |
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Analyzing Long-Term Solvency Risk |
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296 | (4) |
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300 | (5) |
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Analyzing Bankruptcy Risk |
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305 | (11) |
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305 | (1) |
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Models of Bankruptcy Prediction |
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306 | (7) |
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Synthesis of Bankruptcy Prediction Research |
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313 | (3) |
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316 | (1) |
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Financial Reporting Manipulation Risk |
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317 | (5) |
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Motivations for Earnings Manipulation |
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317 | (1) |
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Empirical Research on Earnings Manipulation |
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318 | (2) |
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Application of Beneish's Model to Sunbeam Corporation |
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320 | (2) |
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Summary of Income Manipulation Risk |
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322 | (1) |
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322 | (1) |
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323 | (2) |
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325 | (8) |
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Integrative Case 5.1 Starbucks |
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333 | (1) |
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Case 5.2 Massachusetts Stove Company---Bank Lending Decision |
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333 | (8) |
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Case 5.3 Fly-by-Night International Group: Can This Company Be Saved? |
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341 | (10) |
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Case 5.4 Millennial Technologies: Apocalypse Now |
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351 | (11) |
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Quality of Accounting Information and Adjustments to Reported Financial Statement Data |
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362 | (72) |
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363 | (5) |
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High Quality Reflects Economic Information Content |
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364 | (2) |
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High Quality Signals Earnings Persistence over Time |
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366 | (2) |
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368 | (3) |
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Extraordinary Gains and Losses |
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371 | (3) |
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Changes in Accounting Principles |
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374 | (3) |
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Other Comprehensive Income Items |
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377 | (1) |
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Impairment Losses on Long-Lived Assets |
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378 | (4) |
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Restructuring and Other Charges |
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382 | (4) |
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386 | (2) |
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Gains and Losses from Peripheral Activities |
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388 | (2) |
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Restated Financial Statement Data |
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390 | (3) |
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Accounting Classification Differences |
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393 | (2) |
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Financial Reporting Worldwide |
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395 | (3) |
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398 | (2) |
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400 | (1) |
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400 | (2) |
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402 | (18) |
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Integrative Case 6.1 Starbucks |
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420 | (2) |
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Case 6.2 Hewlett-Packard: A Pack Ard (of) Mess |
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422 | (5) |
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Case 6.3 International Paper: A Recurring Dilemma |
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427 | (7) |
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Revenue Recognition and Related Expenses |
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434 | (88) |
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435 | (17) |
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Criteria for Revenue Recognition |
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435 | (3) |
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Criteria for Expense Recognition |
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438 | (2) |
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Application of Revenue and Expense Recognition Criteria |
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440 | (4) |
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Income Recognition for Long-Term Contractors |
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444 | (4) |
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Revenue Recognition When Cash Collectibility Is Uncertain |
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448 | (4) |
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Inventory Cost-Flow Assumption |
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452 | (9) |
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453 | (1) |
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453 | (2) |
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455 | (1) |
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Conversion from LIFO to FIFO |
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455 | (4) |
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Stock Price Reaction to Changes in Inventory Cost-Flow Assumption |
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459 | (1) |
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Persistent Earnings and the Cost-Flow Assumption |
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459 | (2) |
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Accounting for Fixed Assets |
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461 | (7) |
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461 | (1) |
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462 | (1) |
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463 | (3) |
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Impairment of Fixed Assets (Long-Lived Assets) |
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466 | (1) |
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Persistent Earnings and Fixed-Asset Reporting |
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467 | (1) |
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Accounting for Intangible Assets |
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468 | (9) |
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Accounting for Research and Development Costs |
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470 | (2) |
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Accounting for Software Development Costs |
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472 | (2) |
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474 | (2) |
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Persistent Earnings and Intangible-Asset Reporting |
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476 | (1) |
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477 | (1) |
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Appendix 7.1 Accounting for the Effects of Changing Prices |
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478 | (6) |
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484 | (2) |
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486 | (12) |
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Integrative Case 7.1 Starbucks |
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498 | (2) |
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Case 7.2 Arizona Land Development Company |
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500 | (15) |
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Case 7.3 Chiron Corporation---An R&D Puzzle |
|
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515 | (2) |
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Case 7.4 Corporacion Industrial Sanluis: Coping with Changing Prices |
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517 | (5) |
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Liability Recognition and Related Expenses |
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522 | (108) |
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Principles of Liability Recognition |
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523 | (1) |
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Principles of Liability Valuation |
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523 | (1) |
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Application of Criteria for Liability Recognition |
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524 | (4) |
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Controversial Issues in Liability Recognition |
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528 | (7) |
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Issuance of Hybrid Securities |
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528 | (1) |
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Off-Balance-Sheet Financing Arrangements |
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529 | (6) |
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535 | (10) |
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536 | (1) |
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536 | (2) |
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Choosing the Accounting Method |
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538 | (2) |
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540 | (2) |
|
Lease Accounting for Tax Purposes |
|
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542 | (1) |
|
Converting Operating Leases to Capital Leases |
|
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543 | (2) |
|
Impact of Accounting for Operating Leases as Capital Leases |
|
|
545 | (1) |
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545 | (16) |
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Nature and Use of Derivative Instruments |
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546 | (2) |
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Accounting for Derivatives |
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548 | (2) |
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Illustrations of Accounting for Derivatives |
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550 | (9) |
|
Summary of Derivative Examples |
|
|
559 | (1) |
|
Disclosures Related to Derivative Instruments |
|
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559 | (2) |
|
Accounting Quality Issues and Derivatives |
|
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561 | (1) |
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561 | (14) |
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562 | (9) |
|
Analysts' Treatment of Pensions |
|
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571 | (2) |
|
Postretirement Benefits Other Than Pensions |
|
|
573 | (2) |
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|
575 | (12) |
|
Review of Income Tax Accounting |
|
|
575 | (2) |
|
Required Income Tax Disclosures |
|
|
577 | (6) |
|
Assessing a Firm's Tax Position |
|
|
583 | (1) |
|
Analyzing PepsiCo's Income Tax Disclosures |
|
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584 | (3) |
|
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587 | (1) |
|
Understanding Reserves in the Financial Statements |
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587 | (4) |
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Nature of a Reserve Account |
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588 | (1) |
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589 | (1) |
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590 | (1) |
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591 | (1) |
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591 | (2) |
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593 | (27) |
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Integrative Case 8.1 Starbucks |
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620 | (1) |
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Case 8.2 American Airlines and United Airlines: A Pension for Debt |
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621 | (9) |
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630 | (91) |
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631 | (6) |
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631 | (5) |
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Corporate Acquisitions and Income Taxes |
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636 | (1) |
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Corporate Disclosures on Acquisitions |
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636 | (1) |
|
Investments in Securities |
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637 | (19) |
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Accounting for Investments |
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638 | (1) |
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Percentage of Voting Stock |
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638 | (1) |
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Minority, Passive Investments |
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639 | (4) |
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Minority, Active Investments |
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643 | (1) |
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Majority, Active Investments |
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644 | (9) |
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Primary Beneficiary of a Variable-Interest Entity |
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653 | (2) |
|
Income Tax Consequences of Investments in Securities |
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655 | (1) |
|
Foreign Currency Translation |
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656 | (11) |
|
Functional Currency Concept |
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|
656 | (2) |
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Translation Methodology---Foreign Currency Is Functional Currency |
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658 | (4) |
|
Translation Methodology---U.S. Dollar Is Functional Currency |
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|
662 | (1) |
|
Implications of Functional Currency Determination for Analysis |
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|
663 | (3) |
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Foreign Currency Translation and Income Taxes |
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666 | (1) |
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Interpreting the Effects of Exchange Rate Changes on Operating Results |
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666 | (1) |
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Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation |
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667 | (4) |
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671 | (1) |
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671 | (2) |
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673 | (21) |
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Integrative Case 9.1 Starbucks |
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694 | (1) |
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Case 9.2 Fisher Corporation |
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695 | (16) |
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Case 9.3 Clark Equipment Company: Analyzing a Joint Problem |
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711 | (7) |
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Case 9.4 Loucks Corporation: Obtaining Security in Translation |
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718 | (3) |
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Forecasting Financial Statements |
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721 | (91) |
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|
721 | (1) |
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Introduction to Forecasting |
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722 | (2) |
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Preparing Financial Statement Forecasts |
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724 | (6) |
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General Forecasting Principles |
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|
724 | (1) |
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Six-Step Forecasting Game Plan |
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725 | (1) |
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Practical Tips for Implementing the Six-Step Forecasting Game Plan |
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726 | (3) |
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Using FSAP to Prepare Forecasted Financial Statements |
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729 | (1) |
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Step 1: Projecting Sales and Other Revenues |
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730 | (7) |
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Projecting Revenues from Sales |
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730 | (6) |
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Projecting Other Revenues |
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736 | (1) |
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Step 2: Projecting Operating Expenses |
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737 | (3) |
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Step 3: Projecting the Assets on the Balance Sheet |
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740 | (14) |
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Step 4: Projecting Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity |
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754 | (7) |
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Step 5: Projecting Interest Expense, Interest Income, Nonrecurring or Unusual Items, Provision for Income Tax, and the Change in Retained Earnings |
|
|
761 | (6) |
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Closing the Loop: Solving for Co-Determined Variables |
|
|
766 | (1) |
|
Step 6: Projecting the Statement of Cash Flows |
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767 | (5) |
|
Shortcut Approaches to Forecasting |
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|
772 | (3) |
|
Analyzing Projected Financial Statements |
|
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775 | (3) |
|
Sensitivity Analysis and Reactions to Announcements |
|
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778 | (1) |
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779 | (1) |
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780 | (2) |
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782 | (12) |
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788 | (3) |
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791 | (2) |
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793 | (1) |
|
Integrative Case 10.1 Starbucks |
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|
794 | (8) |
|
Case 10.2 Massachusetts Stove Company: Analyzing Strategic Options* |
|
|
802 | (10) |
|
Risk-Adjusted Expected Rates of Return and the Dividends Valuation Approach |
|
|
812 | (43) |
|
Introduction and Overview |
|
|
812 | (4) |
|
Equivalence among Dividends, Cash Flows, and Earnings Valuation |
|
|
814 | (2) |
|
Risk-Adjusted Expected Rates of Return |
|
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816 | (12) |
|
Cost of Common Equity Capital |
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|
816 | (4) |
|
Adjusting Market Equity Beta to Reflect a New Capital Structure |
|
|
820 | (2) |
|
Evaluating the Use of the CAPM to Measure the Cost of Equity Capital |
|
|
822 | (1) |
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|
823 | (1) |
|
Cost of Preferred Equity Capital |
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|
824 | (1) |
|
Computing the Weighted Average Cost of Capital |
|
|
824 | (4) |
|
Rationale for Dividends-Based Valuation |
|
|
828 | (4) |
|
Dividends-Based Valuation Concepts |
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|
829 | (3) |
|
The Dividends Valuation Model |
|
|
832 | (2) |
|
Implementing the Dividends Valuation Model |
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|
834 | (14) |
|
Measuring Periodic Dividends |
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|
834 | (2) |
|
Selecting a Forecast Horizon |
|
|
836 | (2) |
|
Continuing Value of Future Dividends |
|
|
838 | (4) |
|
Using the Dividends Valuation Model to Value PepsiCo |
|
|
842 | (3) |
|
Sensitivity Analysis and Investment Decision Making |
|
|
845 | (1) |
|
Evaluation of the Dividends Valuation Method |
|
|
846 | (2) |
|
|
848 | (1) |
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|
848 | (1) |
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|
849 | (4) |
|
Integrative Case 11.1 Starbucks |
|
|
853 | (2) |
|
Valuation: Cash-Flow-Based Approaches |
|
|
855 | (77) |
|
Introduction and Overview |
|
|
855 | (2) |
|
Rationale for Cash-Flow-Based Valuation |
|
|
857 | (1) |
|
Free-Cash-Flows-Based Valuation Concepts |
|
|
858 | (11) |
|
Risk, Discount Rates, and the Cost of Capital |
|
|
859 | (1) |
|
Free Cash Flows Valuation Examples for a Single-Asset Firm |
|
|
860 | (2) |
|
Dividends to the Investor versus Cash Flows to the Firm |
|
|
862 | (1) |
|
Nominal versus Real Cash Flows |
|
|
863 | (1) |
|
Pre-Tax versus After-Tax Free Cash Flows |
|
|
864 | (1) |
|
Selecting a Forecast Horizon |
|
|
865 | (1) |
|
Computing Continuing Value of Future Free Cash Flows |
|
|
866 | (3) |
|
Measuring Periodic Free Cash Flows |
|
|
869 | (12) |
|
A Framework for Free Cash Flows |
|
|
869 | (3) |
|
Free Cash Flows Measurement |
|
|
872 | (9) |
|
Cash-Flow-Based Valuation Models |
|
|
881 | (2) |
|
Valuation Models for Free Cash Flows for Common Equity Shareholders |
|
|
881 | (1) |
|
Valuation Models for Free Cash Flows for All Debt and Equity Capital Stakeholders |
|
|
882 | (1) |
|
Free Cash Flows Valuation of PepsiCo |
|
|
883 | (12) |
|
|
884 | (1) |
|
Computing Free Cash Flows for PepsiCo |
|
|
885 | (1) |
|
PepsiCo's Free Cash Flows to All Debt and Equity Capital Stakeholders |
|
|
885 | (3) |
|
PepsiCo's Free Cash Flows to Common Equity |
|
|
888 | (1) |
|
Valuation of PepsiCo Using Free Cash Flows to Common Equity Shareholders |
|
|
889 | (1) |
|
Valuation of PepsiCo Using Free Cash Flows to All Debt and Equity Capital Stakeholders |
|
|
890 | (3) |
|
Sensitivity Analysis and Investment Decision Making |
|
|
893 | (2) |
|
Evaluation of the Free Cash Flows Valuation Method |
|
|
895 | (1) |
|
|
895 | (2) |
|
|
897 | (1) |
|
|
898 | (17) |
|
Integrative Case 12.1 Starbucks |
|
|
915 | (2) |
|
Case 12.2 Holmes Corporation: LBO Valuation |
|
|
917 | (15) |
|
Valuation: Earnings-Based Approaches |
|
|
932 | (35) |
|
Introduction and Overview |
|
|
932 | (2) |
|
Rationale for Earnings-Based Valuation |
|
|
934 | (3) |
|
Earnings-Based Valuation: Practical Advantages and Concerns |
|
|
937 | (2) |
|
Theoretical and Conceptual Foundations for Residual Income Valuation |
|
|
939 | (6) |
|
Illustrations of Residual Income Measurement and Valuation |
|
|
941 | (4) |
|
Residual Income Valuation Model with Finite Horizon Earnings Forecasts and Continuing Value Computation |
|
|
945 | (1) |
|
Valuation of PepsiCo Using the Residual Income Model |
|
|
946 | (6) |
|
Discount Rates for Residual Income |
|
|
947 | (1) |
|
PepsiCo's Book Value of Equity and Residual Income |
|
|
947 | (2) |
|
Discounting PepsiCo's Residual Income to Present Value |
|
|
949 | (1) |
|
Necessary Adjustments to Compute Common Equity Share Value |
|
|
949 | (1) |
|
Sensitivity Analysis and Investment Decision Making |
|
|
950 | (2) |
|
Residual Income Model Implementation Issues |
|
|
952 | (4) |
|
Consistency in Residual Income, Dividends, and Free Cash Flow Value Estimates |
|
|
956 | (1) |
|
|
957 | (1) |
|
|
957 | (2) |
|
|
959 | (6) |
|
Integrative Case 13.1 Starbucks |
|
|
965 | (2) |
|
Valuation: Market-Based Approaches |
|
|
967 | (54) |
|
Introduction and Overview |
|
|
968 | (1) |
|
Market Multiples of Accounting Numbers |
|
|
969 | (2) |
|
Market-to-Book and Value-to-Book Ratios |
|
|
971 | (4) |
|
A Theoretical Model of the Value-to-Book Ratio |
|
|
971 | (4) |
|
Application of the Value-to-Book Model to PepsiCo |
|
|
975 | (8) |
|
Reasons Why VB Ratios and MB Ratios May Differ from One |
|
|
978 | (2) |
|
Empirical Data on MB Ratios |
|
|
980 | (2) |
|
Empirical Research Results on the Predictive Power of MB Ratios |
|
|
982 | (1) |
|
Price-Earnings and Value-Earnings Ratios |
|
|
983 | (14) |
|
A Model for the Value-Earnings Ratio |
|
|
983 | (2) |
|
|
985 | (11) |
|
Summary of VE and PE Ratios |
|
|
996 | (1) |
|
Using Market Multiples of Comparable Firms |
|
|
997 | (1) |
|
|
997 | (3) |
|
Computing PDIFF for PepsiCo |
|
|
998 | (2) |
|
|
1000 | (2) |
|
Reverse Engineering PepsiCo's Stock Price |
|
|
1001 | (1) |
|
The Relevance of Academic Research for the Work of the Security Analyst |
|
|
1002 | (5) |
|
Level-of-Aggregation Issue |
|
|
1003 | (1) |
|
Theory Development and Practice Feed Each Other |
|
|
1004 | (1) |
|
Has the Theory of Capital Market Efficiency Gotten in the Way? |
|
|
1004 | (1) |
|
Striking Evidence on the Degree of Market Efficiency and Inefficiency with Respect to Earnings |
|
|
1005 | (2) |
|
|
1007 | (1) |
|
|
1008 | (1) |
|
|
1009 | (9) |
|
Integrative Case 14.1 Starbucks |
|
|
1018 | (3) |
Appendix A Financial Statements and Notes for PepsiCo, Inc. and Subsidiaries |
|
1021 | (26) |
Appendix B Management's Discussion and Analysis for PepsiCo, Inc. and Subsidiaries |
|
1047 | (24) |
Appendix C Financial Statement Analysis Package (FSAP) |
|
1071 | (39) |
Appendix D User Manual for Financial Statement Analysis Package (FSAP) |
|
1110 | (7) |
Index |
|
1117 | |