Global supply chain decision-makers and practitioners are about to face brutally tough new challenges. They will be called upon to manage supply and demand in a world marked by demographic and economic shifts that will turn their supply and demand markets upside down. They will have to secure crucial supplies in an era when resources are severely constrained. Now, three pioneering supply chain leaders fully illuminate these game-changing challenges, offering a complete decision framework and practical tools, insights, and guidance for systematically mitigating new risks and building long-term supply chain-based competitive advantage. Global Macro Trends and Their Impact on Supply Chain Managementis the first book to focus squarely on emerging societal, technological, geopolitical, and environmental macro trends that will powerfully impact every supply chain. Authors Chad W. Autry, Thomas J. Goldsby, and John E. Bell walk you through assessing the impacts of population growth, migration, urbanization; socioeconomic change, global connectivity, environmental issues, and geopolitics. They review new challenges associated with increased global demand, growing scarcity, transportation congestion, aging infrastructure, and emerging supply-demand imbalances. Next, they provide comprehensive mitigation strategies based on logistics, resource recovery, resource protection, demand and supply shaping, and other techniques. This book will be an indispensable resource for all supply chain, logistics, sourcing, and operations management executives, managers, and professionals; for operations research professionals and graduate students; and for others working in these fields in industry, government, and the military.

Chad W. Autry (Knoxville, TN), Assoc. Prof. of Logistics, Univ. of Tennessee, has published 40+ supply chain research studies. He holds leadership roles with the Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals, is a director at the Warehousing Education and Research Council, and edits two journals.

 

Thomas J. Goldsby (Columbus, OH) is Prof. of Logistics at Ohio State. He has published 50+ research studies and is Executive Editor of Logistics Quarterly.

 

John E. Bell (Knoxville,TN), Asst. Prof. of Logistics at Univ. of Tennessee, researches supply chain network design. He was a USAF logistics/maintenance officer for 20 years.

Preface     xiv

Part I Global Macrotrends Impacting the Supply Chain Environment     1

Chapter 1 Supply Chain Management in the 21st Century     3

A Note on Futurism    7

The Underpinnings of Supply Chain Management     9

What You Will Learn from This Book     15

Managing the Supply Chain to Mitigate Macrotrend Risks    18

Chapter 2 Global Population Growth and Migration     21

Impacts of Population Change on Demand and Supply     25

Population Growth Perspectives     27

Organic Population Growth Issues for Supply Chain Managers     33

Supply Chain Problems Created by Migration-Based Growth     36

The Future Supply Chain Manager’s Population-Oriented Agenda     41

Chapter 3 Global Connectivity and Socioeconomic Leveling     55

Is Globalization Real?     57

Economic Leveling and Connectivity Issues for Future Supply Chain Managers     68

Chapter 4 The Changing Physical Environment     83

The Environment and You, You and the Environment     86

Environmental Pressures on Supply Chains     93

Environmental Challenges for Future Supply Chain Managers     99

Chapter 5 Geopolitical and Social Systems Disruptions     111

Commodity Hoarding and Export Restriction: The China Syndrome     117

Government Risks and Considerations    125

Tangible and Virtual Intentional Disruption     129

Geopolitical Challenges for Future Supply

Chain Managers     132

Part II Macrotrend Implications for Supply Chain Functionality     147

Chapter 6 Implications for Supply Chain Planning:

Demand and Supply Uncertainty     149

How Supply Chain Plans Improve Performance     151

The Supply Chain Planning Function    153

Macrotrend Demand/Supply Impacts: Supply Chain Planning Considerations     157

Chapter 7 Implications for Sourcing/Procurement: Natural Resource Scarcity     165

Understanding Resource Scarcity Today and Tomorrow     166

Natural Resource Attributes and Their Future Implications     170

The Seven Forces Driving Resource Scarcity     174

Scarcity Strategies for the Future Procurement/Supply Manager     180

Sourcing and Procurement Responses to Resource Scarcity Through 2030     182

Chapter 8 Implications for Production: Disrupted Process Flows     185

Manufacturing and the Larger Economy     186

Manufacturing-Driven Supply Chain Strategies     191

Manufacturing Strategies for the Future Production Manager     201

Chapter 9 Implications for Transportation/Logistics: Congestion and Infrastructure Decay    207

Friction of Distance     209

Public-Private Partnerships and Other Solutions     213

Responding to Congestion, Distance Friction, and an Overwhelmed Infrastructure     215

Diffusing Congestion with Advanced Technologies     221

Part III Macrotrend Risk-Mitigation Strategies     225

Chapter 10 Mitigating Supply-Driven Imbalance      227

Employment Approaches     230

Conservation Approaches     235

Resource Scarcity Mitigation Strategies for the Supply Chain     240

Mitigating Supply-Driven Imbalances     244

Chapter 11 Mitigating Demand-Driven Imbalance     247

Demand Shaping in the Transforming World: Macro and Micro Issues     250

The Case for Demand/Supply Integration     254

Implementing DSI to Mitigate Demand-Side Imbalances     258

Applying the Demand-Imbalance Mitigation Strategies     272

Index     275