
The New Era of Wealth
by Wesbury, Brian S.Buy New
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Summary
Author Biography
Brian S. Wesbury was named top economist of 2001 by theWall Street Journal. He is vice president and chief economist at Griffin, Kubik, Stephens & Thompson.
Table of Contents
Introduction | p. 1 |
The Pessimists Are Wrong | p. 3 |
The Seeds for the Boom | p. 5 |
Where Does Wealth Come From? Ask Abe Lincoln | p. 6 |
Opposing Forces: Accumulation and Redistribution of Wealth | p. 7 |
The Stock Market Barometer | p. 8 |
Benefiting from the New Era | p. 10 |
References | p. 11 |
The Framework for Profiting in the New Era | |
The Technology Revolution | p. 15 |
The Information Age | p. 19 |
Machine or Living Ecosystem | p. 26 |
Limitless Growth | p. 28 |
The Technology Explosion | p. 30 |
The Relentless Push to Efficiency | p. 31 |
References | p. 31 |
Globalization and Economic Efficiency | p. 33 |
The Dollar Is King in the Global Economy | p. 39 |
Even the Euro Won't Compete | p. 42 |
References | p. 43 |
The End of Big Government | p. 45 |
The Great Society and Malaise | p. 48 |
References | p. 52 |
Politics in the New World | p. 53 |
The Impotent Government | p. 53 |
A Piece of the Rock and the Fourth Branch of Government | p. 59 |
References | p. 60 |
Monetary Policy: Forecasting the Fed | p. 61 |
It's a Job, Not a Religion | p. 63 |
Balancing Act | p. 65 |
Volcker and Greenspan to the Rescue | p. 65 |
The Greenspan Era | p. 66 |
Forecasting the Fed | p. 67 |
The Supply-Side View Is Correct | p. 69 |
The Fed, Interest Rates, and Inflation | p. 71 |
The Fed's Dilemma Will Create Deflation | p. 71 |
Deflation in the New Era | p. 73 |
References | p. 74 |
Virtuous Circle: How the Trends Work Together | p. 75 |
The Evidence | p. 76 |
The All-Star and Supporting Cast | p. 77 |
Getting the Best from the Team | p. 79 |
Keeping the Team Focused | p. 80 |
Our Money | p. 81 |
Putting It All Together | p. 83 |
References | p. 83 |
Preparing Your Portfolio for the Coming Boom | |
Four Threats to the New Era | p. 87 |
The Great Depression | p. 88 |
Malaise and Stagnation in the 1970s | p. 91 |
The Vicious Circle | p. 92 |
Learning from Japan | p. 92 |
The Four Threats | p. 93 |
The Markets as Task Master | p. 94 |
Storm Clouds | p. 94 |
References | p. 95 |
Shifting Perceptions | p. 97 |
The Three Stages of Denial | p. 100 |
Individuals Know, Policymakers Will Follow | p. 101 |
Ignoring the Noise--Be Optimistic | p. 102 |
References | p. 102 |
Strategies for Creating Personal Wealth | p. 105 |
The Four Tests--New Era Resilience | p. 106 |
Wealth on the Rise | p. 108 |
The Risks of Investing in Stocks Will Decline in the New Era | p. 110 |
Even Low-Yield Bonds Will Provide a Very High Real Interest Rate | p. 110 |
Save Your Money and Stay Out of Debt | p. 112 |
A Dynamic Market Increases Opportunity | p. 113 |
Investing in the New Era | p. 114 |
References | p. 114 |
Investment Implications for the New Era of Wealth | |
Picking Stocks for the Future--The Top-Down Approach | p. 119 |
Risk Versus Reward | p. 120 |
The Role of Price-to-Earnings Ratios | p. 120 |
Key Stock Market Principles for the New Millennium | p. 121 |
Why the New Era Will Boost P/E Ratios | p. 122 |
P/E Ratios and Inflation | p. 124 |
Inflation and Taxes | p. 125 |
P/E Ratios and Interest Rates | p. 126 |
Taxes and Stocks | p. 128 |
Find Value in Ideas, Not Resources | p. 129 |
Does History Suggest Caution? | p. 130 |
Productivity Boom--New Versus Old | p. 133 |
The Booming Network | p. 138 |
Disruptive Technologies and the New Era | p. 140 |
Look for Misused Resources--Deregulation Creates Opportunities | p. 141 |
Profit from Leisure Time and Increased Wealth | p. 142 |
The Bottom Line | p. 143 |
References | p. 144 |
Picking the Right Stocks and Mutual Funds | p. 147 |
How Much Should You Invest?--The Rule of 110 | p. 147 |
What Stocks Do I Buy? | p. 148 |
Value Versus Growth | p. 149 |
Pure Growth | p. 152 |
How to Manage Your New Era Investments | p. 153 |
Day Trading | p. 153 |
Mutual Funds | p. 153 |
What Mutual Funds Are Good for the New Era? | p. 154 |
The 50/50 Strategy | p. 155 |
Investing in Individual Stocks | p. 156 |
How to Build a Great Portfolio | p. 156 |
401K and IRA | p. 159 |
The Bottom Line | p. 159 |
References | p. 160 |
Using Bonds for Long-Term Reward | p. 161 |
Understanding Bond Yields | p. 161 |
Putting Them All Together and Adding the Fed | p. 165 |
The Old Wives Tale of the Bond Market | p. 167 |
The Gains from Lower Rates | p. 168 |
How to Invest in Bonds | p. 168 |
Buying Individual Bonds | p. 169 |
The Problem with Bond Funds | p. 171 |
Ignore the Myths and the Pessimists | p. 172 |
The New Era Forecast for Bonds | p. 173 |
Real Estate and Commodities | p. 175 |
In the New Era, Space and Resources Are Infinite | p. 175 |
Inflation, Deflation, and Resource Prices | p. 175 |
Technology and Real Estate | p. 177 |
Housing, REITS, and the New Era | p. 178 |
Real Estate Opportunities Still Exist | p. 179 |
Commodities and Precious Metals | p. 180 |
Deflation and the New Era | p. 182 |
References | p. 183 |
The New Era of Wealth Is Just Beginning | p. 185 |
Vested Interests and New Paradigms | p. 186 |
Luddites and the New Era | p. 187 |
A Millionaire on Every Block | p. 188 |
Ignore the Pessimists | p. 188 |
References | p. 189 |
Bibliography | p. 191 |
Index | p. 193 |
Table of Contents provided by Syndetics. All Rights Reserved. |
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