Republican Ascendancy in Southern U.S. House Elections

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Edition: 1st
Format: Nonspecific Binding
Pub. Date: 2009-08-11
Publisher(s): Routledge
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Summary

Tremendous transformation marks the last three decades of American politics, and nowhere has this change been as distinctive and penetrating as in the American South. After 120 consecutive years of minority status, the rapid ascendancy of Southern House Republicans in the 1990s has reshaped the contours of contemporary American politics: increasing party polarization, making a Republican House majority possible, and, most recently, contributing to the revival of Democratic fortunes in national congressional elections. Southern Republican ascendancy constitutes an exemplar of party system change, made possible by three sequential factors: increasing Republican identification, redistricting, and the emergence of viable Republican candidates.Relying on existing and original data sources, this book presents the most recent example of large-scale partisan change. Beyond serving as an introduction for the study of political parties, campaigns and elections, and Southern politics,Republican Ascendancy in Southern U.S. House Electionsprovides an original theoretical argument and an expansive view of why political change in the South has such strong implications for national politics.

Author Biography

Seth C. McKee is assistant professor of political science at the University of South Florida at St. Petersburg. His PhD is from the University of Texas, Austin, and his expertise is in parties and election studies.

Table of Contents

Tables and Illustrationsp. xiii
Introductionp. xvii
Acknowledgmentsp. xxiii
Explaining Republican Ascendancyp. 1
Previous Research: Before Republican Ascendancyp. 3
Previous Research: After Republican Ascendancyp. 7
Sizing Up the Literaturep. 13
A Theoretical Explanation for the Rise of Southern Republicansp. 16
Notesp. 25
The Dynamics of Party Identificationp. 29
Party Identification: Not Always the "Unmoved Mover"p. 30
Changing Political Affiliations of Southern Whitesp. 35
Issue Evolution and Partisan Changep. 37
Votersp. 43
Candidatesp. 44
The Voting Rights Act, Its Reinforcement of Issue Evolution, and Conflict Extensionp. 46
Growing Republican Identification of Southern Whitesp. 53
Party Identification and Generational Replacementp. 57
Factors Affecting Party Identificationp. 61
Conclusionp. 65
Notesp. 66
Electoral Effects of Redistrictingp. 71
The Partisan Impact of Redistrictingp. 72
The First Partisan Effect: Racial Redistrictingp. 74
The Second Partisan Effect: The Behavior of Redrawn Votersp. 77
The Political Geography of Southern Congressional Electionsp. 79
Partisan Impact of Redistricting in the 1992-1994 U.S. House Electionsp. 84
Partisan Impact of Redistricting in the 2002 U.S. House Electionsp. 92
Partisan Impact of Redistricting in Texas' 2004 U.S. House Electionsp. 95
A Case Study of Texas 19 in the 2004 U.S. House Electionp. 100
Conclusionp. 108
Notesp. 109
Republican Candidate Emergencep. 113
Competitivenessp. 114
The Changing Political Opportunity Structurep. 117
Money and Candidate Viabilityp. 120
Emergence Patterns in Normal- and High-Opportunity Electionsp. 124
Primary Electionsp. 126
General Electionsp. 128
Conclusionp. 134
Notesp. 135
National Implications of Southern Republican Ascendancyp. 139
This Ain't Your Daddy's Dixiep. 140
The South and Partisan Polarizationp. 148
The New Democratic Majority and the Southp. 159
Short- and Long-Term Perspectives on the 2006 and 2008 Electionsp. 165
Notesp. 169
The Future of Southern Congressional Politicsp. 173
Racial and Ethnic Changep. 174
Reapportionment and Redistrictingp. 180
Performance in Officep. 183
The End of Southern Exceptionalism?p. 187
Concluding Remarksp. 197
Notesp. 202
Documentation of Data Sourcesp. 207
Chapter 3 Supplementary Analysisp. 209
Chapter 4 Supplementary Tablesp. 211
Referencesp. 219
Indexp. 233
Table of Contents provided by Ingram. All Rights Reserved.

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