Preface to the Eighth Edition |
|
v | |
In Memoriam |
|
xix | |
Prefaces to Previous Editions |
|
xxi | |
Part 1: Technical Theory |
|
|
The Technical Approach to Trading and Investing |
|
|
3 | (6) |
|
Technical vs. Fundamental Theory |
|
|
|
Philosophy of Technical Approach |
|
|
|
Drawbacks of Fundamental Approach |
|
|
|
|
9 | (4) |
|
Different Types of Charts |
|
|
|
|
|
Arithmetic and Logarithmic Scales |
|
|
|
|
13 | (12) |
|
The Forerunner of All Technical Theories |
|
|
|
|
|
Basic Tenets of Dow Theory |
|
|
|
Characteristic Phases of Bull and Bear Trends |
|
|
|
The Dow Theory in Practice |
|
|
25 | (20) |
|
Applying Dow Theory to the Averages through 1941 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Secondary Correction of 1943 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45 | (4) |
|
|
|
The ``Too Late'' Criticism |
|
|
|
The Fifty-Year Record of Results |
|
|
|
Little Help in Intermediate Term Trading |
|
|
|
The Dow Theory in the 20th and 21st Centuries |
|
|
49 | (4) |
|
Updating the Record of the Dow |
|
|
|
|
|
Important Reversal Patterns |
|
|
53 | (18) |
|
Divergence between Individual Stocks and Averages |
|
|
|
Definition of Reversal and Reversal Formation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Head-and-Shoulders Top Pattern |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Important Reversal Patterns --- Continued |
|
|
71 | (24) |
|
Head-and-Shoulders Bottoms |
|
|
|
Volume and Breakout Differences |
|
|
|
Multiple Head-and-Shoulders Patterns |
|
|
|
Rounding Tops and Bottoms |
|
|
|
Trading Activity on Rounding Turns |
|
|
|
|
|
Patterns on Weekly and Monthly Charts |
|
|
|
Important Reversal Patterns --- The Triangles |
|
|
95 | (30) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reversal or Consolidation |
|
|
|
Right Angle Triangles, Ascending and Descending |
|
|
|
|
|
On Weekly and Monthly Charts |
|
|
|
Important Reversal Patterns --- Continued |
|
|
125 | (22) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Double and Triple Tops and Bottoms |
|
|
|
Important Recognition Criteria |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
147 | (30) |
|
|
|
|
|
Right-Angles Broadening Patterns |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Rising Wedges in Bear Market Rallies |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term Phenomena of Potential Importance |
|
|
177 | (8) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
185 | (22) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reliability Tests for Flags and Pennants |
|
|
|
On Weekly and Monthly Charts |
|
|
|
Head-and-Shoulders Consolidations |
|
|
|
|
|
Modern vs. Old-Style Markets |
|
|
|
|
207 | (20) |
|
Which Gaps Are Significant? |
|
|
|
|
|
Breakaway Gaps Continuation or Runaway Gaps |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
227 | (22) |
|
Definition of Support and Resistance Levels |
|
|
|
How They Reverse Their Roles |
|
|
|
Reasons for Support/Resistance Phenomena |
|
|
|
Tests for Determining Potential |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Implications of a Breakthrough |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Panic Moves and Recoveries |
|
|
|
|
|
Support-Resistance in the Averages |
|
|
|
|
249 | (28) |
|
|
|
|
|
Arithmetic vs. Logarithmic Scale |
|
|
|
|
|
Tests for Trendline Authority |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consequences of Penetration |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
277 | (10) |
|
Different Forms of Major Uptrends |
|
|
|
Arithmetic and Logarithmic Scaling |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trendlines in the Averages |
|
|
|
Trading the Averages in the 21st Century |
|
|
287 | (4) |
|
Power of Trendlines in Trading the Averages |
|
|
|
Redrawing the Trendlines as Markets Accelerate |
|
|
|
Technical Analysis of Commodity Charts |
|
|
291 | (6) |
|
|
|
Commodity Markets of the 20th (and 21st) Century Suitable for Technical Trading |
|
|
|
Intrinsic Differences Between Stocks and Commodities as Trading Mediums |
|
|
|
Summary and Some Concluding Comments |
|
|
297 | (6) |
|
Philosophy of Technical Approach |
|
|
|
Review of Technical Methods |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Technical Analysis and Technology in the 21st Century: The Computer and the Internet, Tools of the Investment/Information Revolution |
|
|
303 | (8) |
|
The Computer and the Internet |
|
|
|
Tools of the Investment/Information Revolution |
|
|
|
Separating the Wheat from the Chaff |
|
|
|
Advancements in Investment Technology |
|
|
311 | (26) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Options on Futures and Indexes |
|
|
|
|
|
Importance to the Private Investor |
|
|
Part 2: Trading Tactics |
|
|
|
333 | (4) |
|
|
337 | (10) |
|
Characteristics of Desirable Speculative Stocks |
|
|
|
Strategies and Tactics for the Long-term Investor |
|
|
347 | (4) |
|
What's a Speculator, What's an Investor? |
|
|
|
Strategy of the Long-term Investor (Hypothetical) |
|
|
|
|
|
The All-Important Details |
|
|
351 | (4) |
|
|
|
Suggestions on Chart Keeping |
|
|
|
Using Computer Technology |
|
|
|
The Kind of Stocks We Want --- The Speculator's Viewpoint |
|
|
355 | (4) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The Kind of Stocks We Want --- The Long-term Investor's Viewpoint |
|
|
359 | (8) |
|
Changing Opinions about Conservative Investing |
|
|
|
Index Shares and Similar Instruments |
|
|
|
Importance of Modern Trading Instruments |
|
|
|
Selection of Stocks to Chart |
|
|
367 | (4) |
|
|
|
|
|
Advantages of Listed Issues |
|
|
|
Selection of Stocks to Chart --- Continued |
|
|
371 | (6) |
|
|
|
|
|
Swing Power within Groups |
|
|
|
|
|
Choosing and Managing High-risk Stocks: Tulip Stocks, Internet Sector, and Speculative Frenzies |
|
|
377 | (12) |
|
Managing Speculative Frenzies and Runaways |
|
|
|
The Probable Moves of Your Stocks |
|
|
389 | (6) |
|
Choosing Stocks which Have the Potential to Move Volatility |
|
|
|
|
395 | (8) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
403 | (2) |
|
|
|
|
|
Determining Trade Size and Risk |
|
|
|
|
405 | (8) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
What Is a Bottom --- What Is a Top? |
|
|
413 | (6) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
419 | (10) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Use of Support and Resistance |
|
|
429 | (6) |
|
Formulating a Rule for Buying |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
435 | (2) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Measuring Implications in Technical Chart Patterns |
|
|
437 | (4) |
|
Reactions vs. Primary Moves |
|
|
|
Tactical Review of Chart Action |
|
|
441 | (30) |
|
|
|
|
|
Multiple Head-and-Shoulders |
|
|
|
Rounding Tops and Bottoms |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A Quick Summation of Tactical Methods |
|
|
471 | (4) |
|
|
|
|
|
Effect of Technical Trading on Market Action |
|
|
475 | (2) |
|
|
|
Technicians a Minority Group |
|
|
|
Persistence of Ingrained Evaluative Habits |
|
|
|
Automated Trendline: The Moving Average |
|
|
477 | (6) |
|
Sensitizing Moving Averages |
|
|
|
Crossovers and Penetrations |
|
|
|
``The Same Old Patterns'' |
|
|
483 | (58) |
|
Repetitive Character of Market Behavior Over the Years |
|
|
|
Additional Chart Examples Covering Market Action up through 2000 |
|
|
|
|
541 | (8) |
|
The ``Not All'' Principle |
|
|
|
|
|
Reducing Risk and Anxiety |
|
|
|
Identifying Bull and Bear Market Tops and Bottoms with the Magee Evaluative Index |
|
|
|
|
549 | (2) |
|
Putting Experience to Work |
|
|
|
How Much Capital to Use in Trading |
|
|
551 | (4) |
|
Application of Capital in Practice |
|
|
555 | (6) |
|
Using Composite Leverage According to the Market's Condition |
|
|
|
|
|
Portfolio Risk Management --- Measurement and Management |
|
|
561 | (12) |
|
Finding the Sensible Risk Posture |
|
|
|
Overtrading and Undertrading |
|
|
|
Controlling Risk per Trade |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pragmatic Portfolio Theory |
|
|
|
Pragmatic Portfolio Risk Measurement |
|
|
|
Pragmatic Portfolio Analysis |
|
|
|
The Magee Method of Controlling the Risk |
|
|
|
|
573 | (20) |
APPENDIX A Chapters A--D |
|
|
Chapter A The Probable Moves of Your Stocks (Chapter 24 from the Seventh Edition) |
|
|
575 | (2) |
|
|
|
|
|
Normal Range-for-Price-Volatility |
|
|
|
Chapter B A Discussion of Composite Leverage (Chapter 42 from the Seventh Edition) |
|
|
577 | (6) |
|
Overtrading and a Paradox |
|
|
|
The Composite Leverage Index of a Single Stock |
|
|
|
Composite Leverage on a Portfolio |
|
|
|
Investment Account Policy |
|
|
|
Negative Composite Leverage |
|
|
|
Chapter C Normal Range-for-Price Indexes (Appendix B, Fifth Edition) |
|
|
583 | (2) |
|
Chapter D Sensitivity Indexes of Stocks (Appendix C, Fifth Edition) |
|
|
585 | (8) |
APPENDIX B |
|
593 | (10) |
|
Section 1: The Mechanics of Building a Chart (Chapter 23 from the Fifth and Seventh Editions) |
|
|
|
Section 2: TEKNIPLAT Chart Paper |
|
|
APPENDIX C Technical Analysis of Futures Charts (Chapter 16 from the Seventh Edition by Richard McDermott) |
|
603 | (30) |
|
Applications for the Use of Chart Patterns and Other Indicators in the Trading of Futures/Derivatives |
|
|
|
Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, Stochastics, and Others |
|
|
APPENDIX D Resources |
|
633 | (10) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
List of Illustrations and Text Diagrams |
|
643 | (18) |
Glossary |
|
661 | (26) |
Bibliography |
|
687 | (4) |
Index |
|
691 | |